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League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
SC

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Salford City

Bugiel (70')
Johnson (81'), Neufville (90+7'), Brown (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McAleny (7'), McLennan (24'), Watt (32'), Garbutt (33'), Watson (45+2'), Lund (45+5'), Tilt (65'), (90+10')
Watt (90+9'), Vassell (90+9')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Salford City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSalford City
54.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 22.15% (0.004999999999999 0) 23.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)14.62% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.72% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 54.79%
    Salford City 23.06%
    Draw 22.14%
AFC WimbledonDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.79%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Salford City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Sutton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two


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