Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Panetolikos had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Panetolikos win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.

Result
Asteras Tripolis	Draw	Panetolikos
41.91% ( 0.04)	28.92% ( -0.01)	29.17% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.7% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.4% (

0.03)

62.6% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.82% (

0.02)

82.18% (

-0.02)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

0.04)

29.51% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47% (

0.05)

65.53% (

-0.05)

Panetolikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.99% (

38.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.22% (

74.78% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Asteras Tripolis 41.9%

Panetolikos 29.17%

Draw 28.91%

Asteras Tripolis	Draw	Panetolikos
1-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 41.9%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.91%	0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 29.17%