Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
