Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Austria Vienna | Draw | Porto |
23.74% ( 0.05) | 21.71% ( 0.03) | 54.54% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.65% ( -0.1) | 37.34% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.44% ( -0.11) | 59.56% ( 0.1) |
Austria Vienna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( -0.02) | 28.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.4% ( -0.02) | 64.6% ( 0.02) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.26% ( -0.06) | 13.74% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.99% ( -0.11) | 41.01% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Austria Vienna | Draw | Porto |
2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 23.74% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.54% |
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