SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
44.43% ( 0.04) | 23.75% ( -0.02) | 31.81% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( 0.06) | 40.94% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( 0.07) | 63.33% ( -0.07) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( 0.04) | 18.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.94% ( 0.07) | 50.06% ( -0.07) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( 0.02) | 25.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% ( 0.02) | 59.67% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
