SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.9%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.91%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
79.9% ( -2.19) | 13.05% ( 1.31) | 7.05% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.99% ( -3.12) | 33.02% ( 3.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.26% ( -3.68) | 54.74% ( 3.68) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.56% ( -1.03) | 6.44% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.9% ( -2.9) | 24.1% ( 2.9) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.7% ( 0.1) | 49.3% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.83% ( 0.07) | 84.17% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.57) 3-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.14)1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.91)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.57)4-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.39)5-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.59)5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.41)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13)6-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.28)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.54% Total : 79.89% | 1-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.66) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.05% | 0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.63% Total : 7.05% |
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