Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Annecy had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Annecy win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Annecy
41.98% ( 0.06)	27.98% ( 0.03)	30.04% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 46.59% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.84% (

-0.12)

59.16% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.4% (

-0.09)

79.6% (

0.09)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-0.02)

27.81% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

-0.03)

63.4% (

0.03)

Annecy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54% (

-0.13)

35.46% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78% (

-0.13)

72.22% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Bastia 41.98%

Annecy 30.04%

Draw 27.98%

Bastia	Draw	Annecy
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.98%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.04%