Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Annecy had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Annecy win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.06) 
