Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annecy would win this match.
Result | ||
Annecy | Draw | Bastia |
36.21% ( -0.15) | 28.23% ( 0.02) | 35.56% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.12% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.92% ( -0.05) | 59.09% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.47% ( -0.04) | 79.54% ( 0.04) |
Annecy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.85% ( -0.12) | 31.15% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.52% ( -0.14) | 67.48% ( 0.14) |
Bastia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( 0.06) | 31.56% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( 0.07) | 67.96% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Annecy | Draw | Bastia |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.56% |
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