Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Boulogne had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Boulogne win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.
