Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.12) 
