Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
-0.15) 
0.19) 
