SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
37% ( 0.11) | 22.81% ( 0.01) | 40.19% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 66.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.09% ( -0.04) | 34.91% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.05) | 56.89% ( 0.04) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( 0.03) | 19.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% ( 0.05) | 51.28% ( -0.06) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( -0.07) | 18.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.11% ( -0.12) | 48.89% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 40.19% |
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