SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
37.24% ( -0.55) | 22.8% ( 0.3) | 39.97% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 66.12% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.17% ( -1.56) | 34.83% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.2% ( -1.77) | 56.8% ( 1.77) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( -0.93) | 19.29% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( -1.56) | 51.04% ( 1.57) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( -0.55) | 18.07% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( -0.95) | 48.99% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.45% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.97% |
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