Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamburger SV | Draw | Cardiff City |
62.39% ( -2.86) | 19.87% ( 0.75) | 17.74% ( 2.11) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 2.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.85% ( 0.46) | 37.14% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.65% ( 0.5) | 59.34% ( -0.5) |
Hamburger SV Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.58% ( -0.61) | 11.42% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.8% ( -1.35) | 36.2% ( 1.34) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% ( 2.76) | 34.26% ( -2.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( 2.85) | 70.96% ( -2.85) |
Score Analysis |
Hamburger SV | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.69) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.68) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.47) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.25) Other @ 4.39% Total : 62.39% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.87% | 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.48) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.81% Total : 17.74% |
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