Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Carl Zeiss Jena win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sampdoria in this match.
-0.05) 
0.09) 
