Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
-1.78) 
0.02) 
