Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.
-0.15) 
0.23) 
