SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Southport had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Southport win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Southport |
56.51% ( 0.42) | 22.22% ( -0.12) | 21.26% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.32% ( 0.17) | 42.68% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.91% ( 0.17) | 65.09% ( -0.16) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( 0.2) | 14.92% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.69% ( 0.37) | 43.31% ( -0.36) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( -0.18) | 33.91% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% ( -0.2) | 70.58% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Southport |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 21.26% |
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