SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Southport had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
20.44% ( 0.12) | 23.48% ( 0.06) | 56.08% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.84% ( -0.08) | 49.16% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% ( -0.07) | 71.22% ( 0.07) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( 0.09) | 38.41% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( 0.08) | 75.16% ( -0.08) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( -0.09) | 17.35% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.26% ( -0.16) | 47.74% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.44% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.07% |
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