Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
