SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Dinamo Brest win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
61.48% ( -0.07) | 22.5% ( 0.01) | 16.02% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.09) | 51.6% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( 0.07) | 73.39% ( -0.07) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( 0.01) | 16.33% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% ( 0.01) | 45.92% ( -0.01) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.95% ( 0.14) | 45.05% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.03% ( 0.11) | 80.97% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 61.47% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.02% |
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