Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
