Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.