SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 75.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Genk had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 3-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Genk win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Genk |
75.39% ( 2.18) | 14.48% ( -0.61) | 10.13% ( -1.58) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( -3.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.26% ( -1.78) | 28.74% ( 1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.35% ( -2.22) | 49.65% ( 2.22) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.63% ( -0) | 6.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.09% ( -0.01) | 23.91% ( 0.01) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( -3.98) | 39.26% ( 3.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( -3.93) | 75.97% ( 3.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Genk |
| 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.88)3-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.7)4-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.61)4-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.44)5-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.33)5-1 @ 3.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.31)6-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.15)5-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.17)6-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 4.55% Total : 75.39% | 1-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.48)0-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.21% Total : 14.48% | 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.46% Total : 10.13% |
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