Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huddersfield Town would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
