Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.
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