SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Jong Sparta had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 3-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Jong Sparta win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong Sparta |
66.19% ( -1.23) | 17.65% ( 0.65) | 16.16% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.81% ( -2.03) | 29.19% ( 2.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.79% ( -2.52) | 50.21% ( 2.53) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.72% ( -0.77) | 8.28% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.1% ( -1.98) | 28.91% ( 1.98) |
| Jong Sparta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.69) | 31.02% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.67% ( -0.81) | 67.33% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong Sparta |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.51)4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.16)5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.17)4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.85% Total : 66.19% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.36% Total : 17.65% | 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 16.16% |
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.jpg?w=300&h=225&auto=compress,format&fit=fillmax&fill=blur "Preview: Spurs vs. AZ - prediction, team news, lineups")
