SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong AZ in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
50.97% ( -0.25) | 22.65% ( 0.15) | 26.37% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.02% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.81% ( -0.62) | 39.18% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.48% ( -0.66) | 61.51% ( 0.65) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% ( -0.31) | 15.55% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.5% ( -0.58) | 44.49% ( 0.57) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( -0.26) | 27.73% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% ( -0.34) | 63.3% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.37% |
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