SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 72.12%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Jong AZ |
72.12% ( 0.02) | 15.97% ( -0.04) | 11.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.97% ( 0.25) | 31.03% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.57% ( 0.29) | 52.42% ( -0.29) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.48% ( 0.07) | 7.52% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.01% ( 0.16) | 26.99% ( -0.16) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.1% ( 0.2) | 37.89% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.33% ( 0.19) | 74.66% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 5.32% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 72.12% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.97% | 1-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 11.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
