Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Union Sur Yaiza had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Union Sur Yaiza win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
-0.88) 
0.3) 
