Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.09) 
