Despite winning the reverse fixture 1-0, Las Palmas' inability to find the net consistently could count against them on Sunday, with the hosts failing to score in four of their last five matches in front of their fans.
Alaves, on the other hand, have netted in their last six visits to Gran Canaria and have claimed maximum points in four of their last six road games, possibly pointing to a fifth win in seven on their travels to close out the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.46) 
-0.16) 
