Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Levante in this match.