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Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
May 24, 2021 at 8pm UK
Nou Castalia
RV

Castellon
0 - 2
Rayo Vallecano


Galvez (39'), Indias (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Qasmi (49'), Garcia (51')
Comesana (49'), Trejo (66')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Rayo Vallecano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Castellon win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
CastellonDrawRayo Vallecano
19.59%27.4%53.01%
Both teams to score 39.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.21%63.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.97%83.03%
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.11%47.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.85%83.14%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07%58.93%
Score Analysis
    Castellon 19.59%
    Rayo Vallecano 52.99%
    Draw 27.39%
CastellonDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 4.47%
2-0 @ 3.18%
3-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.59%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 16.49%
0-2 @ 11.6%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-3 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 4.01%
0-4 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.48%
1-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 52.99%

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