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Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
3 - 0
Castellon

Quintana (42'), Scepovic (66', 86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sene (84')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Castellon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (12.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.

Result
MalagaDrawCastellon
37.49%30.33%32.18%
Both teams to score 41.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.71%66.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.22%84.78%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92%34.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24%70.75%
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25%37.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48%74.52%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 37.48%
    Castellon 32.18%
    Draw 30.33%
MalagaDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 13.84%
2-0 @ 7.45%
2-1 @ 7.26%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.48%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.86%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.33%
0-1 @ 12.53%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 32.18%

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