Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Alcione had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for an Alcione win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match.
0.37) 
-0.1) 
