Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
