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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
M

Juventus
2 - 0
Monza

Chiesa (26'), Sandro (28')
Yildiz (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Carboni (38'), Zerbin (67')
Zerbin (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Frosinone
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Monza

Putting the full stop on an uneven campaign, Juventus can take advantage of Monza's wilting form and finish the season with an overdue win. Then, a busy summer awaits the Bianconeri's new boss, who will be expected to get a well-paid squad back in contention for the Scudetto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawMonza
62.82% (0.115 0.12) 21.28% (-0.023 -0.02) 15.89% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.36% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.1% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)46.89% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85% (-0.067 -0.07)69.15% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (0.01100000000001 0.01)14.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.86% (0.021999999999998 0.02)42.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.61% (-0.167 -0.17)42.39% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.141 -0.14)78.77% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 62.81%
    Monza 15.89%
    Draw 21.28%
JuventusDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.43% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.61% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 62.81%
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 15.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bologna 3-3 Juventus
Monday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 AC Milan
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Juventus
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Frosinone
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Lazio
Saturday, May 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Monza
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Atalanta
Sunday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Monza
Saturday, April 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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