Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Chayka had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Chayka win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Obolon Kyiv would win this match.
