SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
28.01% ( -0.14) | 25.94% ( -0.07) | 46.05% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( 0.2) | 52.43% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0.17) | 74.1% ( -0.18) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% ( -0.01) | 33.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.92% ( -0) | 70.07% ( -0) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.18) | 22.73% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( 0.27) | 56.4% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.05% |
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