Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.08) 
