SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Braintree Town |
27.28% ( -1.05) | 23.09% ( -0.15) | 49.63% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.29% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( -0.09) | 40.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( -0.09) | 62.9% ( 0.08) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( -0.78) | 27.78% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( -1.01) | 63.36% ( 1) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( 0.41) | 16.52% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.73% ( 0.73) | 46.27% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.28% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.63% |
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