SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.17%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.82%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Sutton United |
22.65% ( -0.01) | 21.17% ( -0.03) | 56.17% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.97% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.97% ( 0.12) | 36.03% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.87% ( 0.13) | 58.13% ( -0.13) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( 0.06) | 28.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( 0.08) | 64.8% ( -0.08) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( 0.05) | 12.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.87% ( 0.1) | 39.13% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 22.65% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 4.08% Total : 56.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
