Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 82.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 5.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.66%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.