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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
2 - 0
Southport

Main (6'), Cornish (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warrington Town 1-3 Darlington
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Scunthorpe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Southport had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawSouthport
44.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 25.11%30.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)47.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)69.76%
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)54.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 44.06%
    Southport 30.83%
    Draw 25.11%
DarlingtonDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-3 Darlington
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-3 Chorley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 3-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-2 Darlington
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Darlington
Saturday, March 9 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Scunthorpe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Southport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 4-1 Bishop's Stortford
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-2 Buxton
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-3 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Southport
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North


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