Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
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