Bologna boast Serie A's second-best home record, so seeing off struggling Udinese seems straightforward on paper. With a new boss in charge and facing the distinct danger of relegation, the Fruilani should put up a brave fight before succumbing again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.11) 
