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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 36
May 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
2 - 0
Istra 1961

Prsir (75'), Soldo (90+5')
Matej Juric (29'), Mrzljak (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Iovu (22'), Cuic (38'), Jaganjac (84')
Cuic (66')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 Gorica
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Varazdin
Friday, May 17 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawNK Istra 1961
32.87% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 41.72% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.18% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.33% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.88% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)63.49% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (0.012999999999991 0.01)22.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.75% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 32.87%
    NK Istra 1961 41.72%
    Draw 25.41%
GoricaDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 32.87%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 9.42%
1-2 @ 8.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 Gorica
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Rudes
Friday, May 10 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 4-1 Gorica
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-3 Osijek
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Gorica
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Varazdin
Friday, May 17 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, May 12 at 6.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 1-3 Istra 1961
Friday, May 3 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, April 26 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-2 Istra 1961
Saturday, April 20 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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