Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 77.06%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Rovereto had a probability of 8.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Rovereto win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
-0.24) 
0.21) 
